Embracing Uncertainty
Friday, January 27, 2023
Flip on any TV business program, and you are likely to hear a stock market debate that is tightly linked to forecasts of the future. The typical setup is an optimist versus a pessimist, with the debate focusing on inflation, the Federal Reserve, economic growth, and so on. Each proponent makes a forecast and then follows with investment advice that is tightly linked to their outlook. Adding a third debater who shrugs his or her shoulders when asked for a forecast would make for terrible TV, but in our minds, that would be a useful addition to the debate. Embracing uncertainty leads investors away from portfolios tailor-made for specific scenarios and towards solutions that control risk and offer likely returns, even in volatile times.
Read the 4Q 2022 Quarterly Report: Embracing Uncertainty ►

Emeritus CIO